Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1122.825969 1265.781971 1421.686172 1604.611771 1813.713466 2045.682880 2323.075923
2026-02-01 907.088448 1101.916791 1332.438913 1626.522622 1993.441564 2438.358457 3022.087640
2026-02-08 783.205657 1000.315196 1271.726906 1638.364673 2124.392351 2751.689875 3630.873444
2026-02-15 698.078521 928.342488 1229.312506 1655.357796 2249.119325 3056.392225 4252.593561
2026-02-22 637.998455 878.463739 1205.103800 1686.730262 2388.110095 3386.667466 4941.848559
2026-03-01 568.127628 805.667065 1139.078788 1648.172971 2418.210740 3559.321205 5415.830912
2026-03-08 506.298856 736.934062 1070.189898 1595.148975 2416.659638 3678.875377 5815.626907
2026-03-15 454.639818 677.546952 1008.244903 1544.216814 2409.589345 3784.382320 6199.364062
2026-03-22 433.730241 662.037886 1009.952098 1590.471386 2558.354236 4150.028618 7055.639714
2026-03-29 409.501319 638.850685 997.030643 1610.882024 2665.169834 4455.492013 7843.550219
2026-04-05 386.308973 615.058699 980.584489 1622.958700 2757.565906 4743.843767 8634.176967
2026-04-12 365.491572 593.212428 965.079563 1634.403412 2848.680917 5037.523052 9469.423574
2026-04-19 350.929232 581.100581 965.585538 1675.184261 2999.349947 5461.362846 10626.029892
2026-04-26 334.574502 564.637557 957.306495 1699.553147 3122.605517 5848.645319 11766.950727
2026-05-03 317.849210 546.045656 943.490121 1711.916225 3223.410084 6202.381347 12886.205042
2026-05-10 303.446126 530.339605 933.328499 1729.752394 3335.990880 6591.178022 14135.688201
2026-05-17 292.355704 519.678571 931.307283 1762.677987 3481.642641 7063.712649 15641.271431
2026-05-24 272.437098 491.214904 893.873373 1722.212131 3471.474950 7204.327531 16396.620780
2026-05-31 252.356957 461.012200 850.850442 1666.570831 3423.307849 7256.051438 16944.984390
2026-06-07 234.234107 433.301569 810.614770 1613.132865 3374.422578 7300.306166 17480.763429
2026-06-14 229.233585 430.571687 818.942616 1661.662770 3554.627839 7886.949833 19481.743069
2026-06-21 221.514644 421.927453 814.785582 1683.079574 3675.786484 8349.553601 21232.195021
2026-06-28 213.378448 411.869961 806.977207 1695.752190 3777.896950 8778.160834 22959.780653